Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Carter 60.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 78.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 57.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Ryan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
65.6% (262)
-4.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
68.3% (63)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
50.5% (99)
-4.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Ryan
Carter
Home
56.7% (201)
64.3% (207)
Away
54.8% (208)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Ryan
Carter
P1
56.7%
65.3%
P2
56.8%
60.1%
P3
53.7%
63.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |