Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 71.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Ryan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Ryan
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Ryan
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Ryan
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Ryan
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
59.7% (727)
-8.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
68.1% (72)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
53.2% (139)
-7.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Ryan
Carter
Home
53.7% (214)
58.7% (455)
Away
46.4% (220)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Ryan
Carter
P1
45.0%
61.3%
P2
50.0%
57.1%
P3
54.6%
59.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |