Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 53.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
56.3% (1,115)
-5.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
61.2% (67)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
52.1% (292)
-6.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
53.7% (214)
58.3% (705)
Away
46.4% (220)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
45.0%
54.5%
P2
50.0%
58.2%
P3
54.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |