Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Staal 55.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 60.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Ryan
Staal
Last 9: Ryan 2-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Ryan
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Ryan
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
55.9% (14,620)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
62.7% (1,745)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
48.0% (2,896)
-0.2%
On power play, Staal has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
56.2% (2,559)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
55.1%
55.2%
P2
54.7%
55.9%
P3
56.0%
54.9%
OT
58.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |