Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Staal 54.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Ryan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Ryan
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
57.0% (1,017)
+4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.7% (26)
+42.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
45.1% (286)
+6.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Ryan
Staal
Home
64.2% (137)
54.3% (667)
Away
55.8% (113)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Ryan
Staal
P1
58.9%
56.2%
P2
62.8%
57.0%
P3
59.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |