Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Norris 51.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Ryan
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
51.2% (886)
+9.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.0% (83)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
38.8% (67)
+4.4%
On power play, Norris has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Ryan
Norris
Home
56.7% (254)
55.6% (487)
Away
55.0% (258)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Ryan
Norris
P1
56.9%
54.8%
P2
51.7%
51.3%
P3
59.2%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |