Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Norris 51.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 74.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 62.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Ryan
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ryan
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Ryan
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
52.2% (542)
+8.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.4% (57)
+45.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
46.7% (30)
-0.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Ryan
Norris
Home
56.7% (201)
50.7% (351)
Away
54.8% (208)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Ryan
Norris
P1
56.7%
55.6%
P2
56.8%
49.3%
P3
53.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |