Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Dowling 48.7% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 56.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.7%
Neutral zone
Dowling 50.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Ryan
Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
48.7% (318)
+12.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
20.0% (5)
+80.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
50.0% (4)
+1.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Dowling is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dowling
Home
64.2% (137)
49.0% (145)
Away
55.8% (113)
47.8% (182)
By Period
Ryan
Dowling
P1
58.9%
48.1%
P2
62.8%
49.1%
P3
59.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%