Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Dowling 48.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Dowling leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Ryan
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Ryan
Dowling
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
4
Ryan
Dowling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Dowling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Dowling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
49.4% (652)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
40.6% (32)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
33.3% (9)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dowling
Home
56.2% (2,559)
48.2% (301)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Ryan
Dowling
P1
55.1%
47.6%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
56.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |