Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Kadri 47.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 88.2%
11.8%
88.2%
Ryan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Ryan
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
46.2% (1,005)
+4.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.3% (199)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
26.7% (30)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kadri
Home
53.7% (214)
47.4% (641)
Away
46.4% (220)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Ryan
Kadri
P1
45.0%
46.9%
P2
50.0%
49.5%
P3
54.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |