Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Kadri 49.0% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 87.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 90.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Ryan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Ryan
Kadri
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
7
Ryan
Kadri
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
7
0
Ryan
Kadri
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
47.7% (975)
+13.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.0% (226)
+46.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
55.6% (9)
-9.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kadri
Home
56.7% (201)
48.3% (621)
Away
54.8% (208)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Ryan
Kadri
P1
56.7%
48.1%
P2
56.8%
48.9%
P3
53.7%
49.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |