Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Kadri 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 80.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 67.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 73.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Ryan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Ryan
Kadri
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
14
Ryan
Kadri
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
11
3
Ryan
Kadri
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
5
Ryan
Kadri
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.2% (12,510)
+8.4%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.0% (1,892)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
41.0% (293)
+6.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kadri
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Ryan
Kadri
P1
55.1%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
48.8%
P3
56.0%
48.0%
OT
58.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |