Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 52.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 81.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Ryan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Ryan
Suzuki
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Ryan
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
43.8% (623)
+10.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
48.1% (129)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
34.1% (44)
+7.4%
On power play, Suzuki has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Ryan is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ryan shoots right. Suzuki is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Ryan
Suzuki
Home
50.9% (167)
44.8% (364)
Away
53.5% (127)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Ryan
Suzuki
P1
44.0%
45.8%
P2
61.7%
42.3%
P3
50.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |