Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Ryan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
47.0% (1,066)
+3.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
49.5% (204)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
46.6% (131)
-1.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Ryan
Suzuki
Home
53.7% (214)
49.4% (686)
Away
46.4% (220)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Ryan
Suzuki
P1
45.0%
45.6%
P2
50.0%
46.9%
P3
54.6%
49.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |