Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 78.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Ryan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Ryan
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
52.4% (981)
+9.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (304)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
36.4% (33)
+15.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Ryan
Suzuki
Home
64.2% (137)
53.2% (645)
Away
55.8% (113)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Ryan
Suzuki
P1
58.9%
48.9%
P2
62.8%
51.5%
P3
59.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |