Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Kurashev 46.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 84.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.6%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 66.0%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Ryan
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Ryan
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
2
Ryan
Kurashev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
42.8% (145)
+8.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
45.5% (33)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
66.7% (12)
-21.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Kurashev is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kurashev
Home
53.7% (214)
51.2% (82)
Away
46.4% (220)
39.8% (108)
By Period
Ryan
Kurashev
P1
45.0%
51.7%
P2
50.0%
45.7%
P3
54.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |