Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Kurashev 48.0% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 90.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 80.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Ryan
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Ryan
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kurashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
Ryan
Kurashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
46.7% (184)
+14.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (16)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
50.0% (6)
+1.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Kurashev is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kurashev
Home
64.2% (137)
44.4% (63)
Away
55.8% (113)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Ryan
Kurashev
P1
58.9%
53.8%
P2
62.8%
38.7%
P3
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |