Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Kurashev 44.8% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 63.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 77.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Ryan
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Ryan
Kurashev
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
4
5
Ryan
Kurashev
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Kurashev
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
44.6% (924)
+12.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
43.6% (156)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
42.1% (38)
+5.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Kurashev is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kurashev
Home
56.2% (2,559)
44.5% (521)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
44.2% (597)
By Period
Ryan
Kurashev
P1
55.1%
46.1%
P2
54.7%
44.4%
P3
56.0%
42.9%
OT
58.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |