Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Dubois 45.2% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 86.3%
Defensive zone
Dubois 54.4%
Neutral zone
Dubois 65.8%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Ryan
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Dubois
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Ryan
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
44.4% (753)
+9.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
52.9% (34)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
38.9% (18)
+7.0%
On power play, Dubois has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Dubois is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dubois
Home
52.5% (341)
47.0% (436)
Away
52.2% (391)
41.7% (369)
By Period
Ryan
Dubois
P1
56.0%
46.3%
P2
48.1%
39.3%
P3
52.8%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |