Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Dubois 47.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 81.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.4%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Ryan
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Ryan
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
46.1% (1,050)
+14.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.0% (81)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
25.0% (4)
+18.2%
On power play, Dubois has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Dubois is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dubois
Home
56.7% (254)
47.0% (581)
Away
55.0% (258)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Ryan
Dubois
P1
56.9%
46.9%
P2
51.7%
50.1%
P3
59.2%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |