Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Dubois 49.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 84.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.2%
Neutral zone
Dubois 51.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Ryan
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Ryan
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
48.7% (809)
+2.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.9% (163)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
37.5% (16)
+7.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Dubois is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dubois
Home
53.7% (214)
50.5% (497)
Away
46.4% (220)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Ryan
Dubois
P1
45.0%
49.0%
P2
50.0%
48.2%
P3
54.6%
49.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |