Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 71.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 72.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Ryan
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
53.1% (113)
-2.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
60.0% (10)
-14.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Ryan
Carpenter
Home
53.7% (214)
58.5% (65)
Away
46.4% (220)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Ryan
Carpenter
P1
45.0%
65.8%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
54.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%