Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 93.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 80.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Ryan
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
44.8% (936)
+15.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.4% (154)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
33.3% (54)
+9.9%
On power play, Hartman has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hartman
Home
56.7% (254)
47.4% (568)
Away
55.0% (258)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Ryan
Hartman
P1
56.9%
47.2%
P2
51.7%
43.4%
P3
59.2%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |