Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Hartman 48.1% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 70.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Ryan
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
48.1% (520)
+13.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
47.8% (23)
+3.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hartman
Home
64.2% (137)
48.3% (360)
Away
55.8% (113)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Ryan
Hartman
P1
58.9%
48.5%
P2
62.8%
45.2%
P3
59.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |