Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 58.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 73.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Ryan
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ryan
Hartman
Last 9: Ryan 5-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Ryan
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
45.2% (4,235)
+11.4%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
47.4% (443)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
42.4% (262)
+5.4%
On even strength, Ryan has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hartman
Home
56.2% (2,559)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Ryan
Hartman
P1
55.1%
46.0%
P2
54.7%
42.9%
P3
56.0%
46.8%
OT
58.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |