Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 50.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Ryan
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
51.3% (158)
+8.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.7% (36)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
33.6% (110)
+9.6%
On power play, Gagner has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gagner
Home
56.7% (254)
53.2% (154)
Away
55.0% (258)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Ryan
Gagner
P1
56.9%
35.6%
P2
51.7%
52.7%
P3
59.2%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%