Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Gagner 43.8% (+19.6%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 76.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Ryan
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
31.0% (29)
+19.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
29.4% (17)
+45.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Gagner is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gagner
Home
53.7% (214)
36.8% (19)
Away
46.4% (220)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Ryan
Gagner
P1
45.0%
27.8%
P2
50.0%
15.4%
P3
54.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%