Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Gagner 52.4% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 75.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 60.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Ryan
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
76.5% (17)
-15.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gagner
Home
56.7% (201)
75.0% (16)
Away
54.8% (208)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Ryan
Gagner
P1
56.7%
25.0%
P2
56.8%
64.3%
P3
53.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%