Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.9%). Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Karlsson 51.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 57.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 62.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Ryan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ryan
Karlsson
Last 5: Ryan 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Ryan
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Ryan
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Ryan
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
52.9% (719)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
53.5% (101)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
45.2% (126)
+0.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Ryan
Karlsson
Home
52.5% (341)
54.1% (547)
Away
52.2% (391)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Ryan
Karlsson
P1
56.0%
49.5%
P2
48.1%
53.2%
P3
52.8%
52.3%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | William Karlsson |