Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.9%). Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.3% vs Stepan 46.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 57.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Schenn
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schenn
Stepan
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
3
Schenn
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Schenn
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (414)
48.0% (750)
-1.9%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
36.3% (113)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
41.6% (113)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Schenn is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Schenn shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stepan
Home
42.3% (222)
47.4% (460)
Away
48.5% (231)
44.5% (517)
By Period
Schenn
Stepan
P1
43.9%
50.3%
P2
48.4%
38.4%
P3
43.5%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |