Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Barbashev 42.3% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Stepan
Barbashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
37.9% (272)
+16.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.6% (29)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
40.7% (27)
+24.0%
On power play, Barbashev has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Stepan
Barbashev
Home
54.5% (222)
45.3% (137)
Away
57.2% (222)
36.1% (191)
By Period
Stepan
Barbashev
P1
57.5%
41.8%
P2
54.7%
43.1%
P3
55.9%
31.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%