Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Barbashev 43.0% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 74.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 58.1%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Stepan
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Stepan
Barbashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
39.1% (128)
+16.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
36.4% (11)
-36.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
20.0% (5)
+30.8%
On power play, Barbashev has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Stepan
Barbashev
Home
57.7% (213)
40.0% (85)
Away
50.7% (209)
35.6% (59)
By Period
Stepan
Barbashev
P1
56.3%
35.8%
P2
48.9%
29.5%
P3
57.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |