Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Hughes 37.9% (+19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 79.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Stepan
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Stepan
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
34.9% (444)
+20.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
33.3% (6)
+17.5%
On power play, Hughes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hughes
Home
57.7% (213)
37.4% (235)
Away
50.7% (209)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Stepan
Hughes
P1
56.3%
37.1%
P2
48.9%
33.7%
P3
57.1%
34.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |