Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.1%). Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Evans 50.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 64.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Stepan
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Evans
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Stepan
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
52.2% (320)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
41.0% (83)
-11.4%
On power play, Evans has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Stepan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Stepan shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Stepan
Evans
Home
46.0% (113)
54.3% (223)
Away
53.1% (147)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Stepan
Evans
P1
48.5%
53.9%
P2
49.4%
44.9%
P3
52.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |