Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Evans 51.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Stepan
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Stepan
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
54.5% (483)
+0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
43.9% (155)
+6.9%
On power play, Evans has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Stepan
Evans
Home
57.7% (213)
49.4% (336)
Away
50.7% (209)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Stepan
Evans
P1
56.3%
55.8%
P2
48.9%
51.7%
P3
57.1%
48.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |