Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Dickinson 45.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 62.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Stepan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stepan
Dickinson
Last 5: Stepan 4-1 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Dickinson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
45.5% (404)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
25.0% (12)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
29.0% (31)
+16.2%
On power play, Stepan has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Dickinson is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Stepan
Dickinson
Home
50.4% (560)
50.2% (219)
Away
45.1% (637)
37.7% (228)
By Period
Stepan
Dickinson
P1
47.4%
45.0%
P2
47.0%
41.1%
P3
48.1%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |