Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Carter 56.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Stepan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
57.9% (885)
-3.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.7% (133)
-61.7%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
45.4% (119)
+19.3%
On power play, Carter has a +61.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Stepan
Carter
Home
54.5% (222)
58.2% (543)
Away
57.2% (222)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Stepan
Carter
P1
57.5%
57.5%
P2
54.7%
57.1%
P3
55.9%
55.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |