Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Stepan
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Carter
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Stepan
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
59.7% (727)
-4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
68.1% (72)
-68.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
53.2% (139)
-2.4%
On power play, Carter has a +68.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Stepan
Carter
Home
57.7% (213)
58.7% (455)
Away
50.7% (209)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Stepan
Carter
P1
56.3%
61.3%
P2
48.9%
57.1%
P3
57.1%
59.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |