Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 64.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Stepan
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
52.3% (560)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
57.5% (113)
-57.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
62.5% (16)
-11.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pavelski
Home
57.7% (213)
54.2% (360)
Away
50.7% (209)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Stepan
Pavelski
P1
56.3%
54.5%
P2
48.9%
56.7%
P3
57.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%