Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 77.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Stepan
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stepan
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
57.5% (914)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
60.5% (309)
-60.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
59.1% (22)
-8.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Stepan
Tavares
Home
57.7% (213)
61.0% (661)
Away
50.7% (209)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Stepan
Tavares
P1
56.3%
58.6%
P2
48.9%
57.8%
P3
57.1%
58.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |