Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Eller 49.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 52.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Stepan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stepan
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
51.1% (786)
+3.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.0% (80)
-45.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
43.6% (165)
+21.1%
On power play, Eller has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Stepan
Eller
Home
54.5% (222)
51.2% (510)
Away
57.2% (222)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Stepan
Eller
P1
57.5%
50.7%
P2
54.7%
49.0%
P3
55.9%
48.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |