Scouting Report
Marcus Foligno holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Foligno 51.7% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 58.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Stepan
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
53.8% (13)
+0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
83.3% (6)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
54.5% (222)
70.0% (10)
Away
57.2% (222)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
60.0%
P3
55.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
60.0%