Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.9%). Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Foligno 47.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 55.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 54.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stepan
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Stepan
Foligno
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Foligno
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
47.6% (553)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
56.3% (64)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
34.2% (76)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
47.6% (6,608)
46.0% (365)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.9% (328)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
47.5%
48.7%
P2
45.6%
49.8%
P3
46.8%
42.7%
OT
40.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |