Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Foligno 50.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Stepan
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
46.2% (13)
+9.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On power play, Foligno has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 83.3% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
57.7% (213)
42.9% (7)
Away
50.7% (209)
57.1% (7)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
33.3%
P3
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
50.0%