Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Jankowski 48.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 63.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 53.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 63.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Stepan
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Stepan
Jankowski
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
3
Stepan
Jankowski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
49.5% (746)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
53.1% (32)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
28.1% (32)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Jankowski is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jankowski
Home
48.2% (761)
50.4% (399)
Away
47.3% (789)
47.2% (411)
By Period
Stepan
Jankowski
P1
46.3%
49.4%
P2
50.4%
48.7%
P3
46.3%
48.7%
OT
55.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |