Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Stepan
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
51.6% (126)
+2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
39.2% (51)
+25.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jankowski
Home
54.5% (222)
45.3% (64)
Away
57.2% (222)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Stepan
Jankowski
P1
57.5%
53.7%
P2
54.7%
45.8%
P3
55.9%
43.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%