Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 26-14 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 79.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Stepan
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
26
(40 meetings)
14
26
Stepan
Jankowski
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
11
Stepan
Jankowski
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
6
10
Stepan
Jankowski
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
5
Stepan
Jankowski
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.5% (3,462)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.7% (95)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.8% (528)
+1.4%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jankowski
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Stepan
Jankowski
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
45.6%
51.2%
P3
46.8%
50.2%
OT
40.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |