Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Jankowski 54.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 58.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 59.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Stepan
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stepan
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Stepan
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Stepan
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
58.6% (273)
-3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
43.3% (67)
+7.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jankowski
Home
57.7% (213)
54.7% (128)
Away
50.7% (209)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Stepan
Jankowski
P1
56.3%
54.5%
P2
48.9%
56.5%
P3
57.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |