Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Jankowski 51.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 79.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Stepan
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
Stepan
Jankowski
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
4
Stepan
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
5
Stepan
Jankowski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Stepan
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
52.6% (701)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
66.7% (12)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
45.8% (107)
+2.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Jankowski is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jankowski
Home
48.6% (666)
56.6% (424)
Away
46.1% (710)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Stepan
Jankowski
P1
46.3%
49.3%
P2
50.7%
57.4%
P3
45.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |