Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Jankowski 45.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 50.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 58.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Stepan
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Stepan
Jankowski
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
4
Stepan
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
3
Stepan
Jankowski
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Stepan
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
46.7% (349)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
50.0% (6)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
34.3% (70)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Jankowski is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jankowski
Home
50.4% (560)
47.0% (183)
Away
45.1% (637)
43.0% (242)
By Period
Stepan
Jankowski
P1
47.4%
44.5%
P2
47.0%
42.9%
P3
48.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |